Is the Administration secretly happy that the employment situation release was delayed? Without inside information, one can’t…
My nowcast of BLS private nonfarm payroll employment was for a decreaes of 78K, but with a very wide prediction…
We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford…
That’s q4/q4, as noted in the survey results for September. FIgure 1: GDP (bold black), FT-Booth September…
In a discussion with myself and Aaron Zitzelsberger (WEDC), at UW Madison, Thursday 2 October 2025, sponsored…
From Baker, Bloom and Davis, as well as Caldara et al., in the wake of Section 232…
This is what I found on the Bureau of Industrial Security/Dept of Commerce website: In contrast,…
Some people argue the concurrent dollar decline and Treasury yield incrase was attributable to liquidity issues as repicing occurred against…
U.Michigan index revised down from preliminary. Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence Index (brown), Gallup…
Yes, if the Philadelphia Fed Early Benchmark is closer to right. Figure 1: Panel A: Average effective…