Why? Is Argentina central to US national security or economic interests? This Bloomberg article doesn’t explain the…
Yesterday, in a speech before the Economic Club of New York, Fed Governor Stephen Miran, on leave from the White…
That’s exactly what EJ Antoni did in “Biden’s Recession” (August 1, 2022): In terms of how we define it or…
Referring to Dr. Antoni’s definition of recessions using quarterly data, here are the GDP data series for…
That’s a plea from an X post a year ago. He presented various calculations (which are hard to replicate, because…
Including Philadelphia Fed early benchmark, released today. Several series are below recent peaks, including the early benchmark.…
From DWD release today: Figure 1: Wisconsin manufacturing employment, 000’s, s.a. (blue). Source: BLS, DWD. Manufacturing employment…
EJ Antoni noted a year ago (Sept 6, 2024): gov’t and the gov’t-dominated healthcare sector [employment growth]..…
Industrial and manufacturing production, and retail sales, all beating consensus. Nonetheless, there’s a tendency toward trending sideways. Figure 1: Nonfarm…
If credibility is degraded, then tariff induced cost-push shocks are less likely to manifest as one-off price…