The March FT-Booth survey is out; median q4/q4 growth for 2025 is 1.6%, down from 2.3% in the December survey.…
The March FT-Booth survey is out; median q4/q4 growth for 2025 is 1.6%, down from 2.3% in the December survey (see…
From “Recession Blonde: How Economic Uncertainty Spurred the Latest Hair Color Trend”, March 17th: What is “recession blonde?” Recession blonde…
That’s from today’s GDPNow release (Calculation: As of the 7 March release, the reported GDPNow was -1.6%, while adjusted was…
Industrial and manufacturing production out today, retail sales out yesterday. All three are up, with IP +0.7% m/m and mfg…
That’s the title of an article by Jasmine Cui for NBC, citing me, Jeffrey Frankel (formerly on the NBER BCDC),…
Latest updated data, 3/16 at 1074. Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), and centered 7 day moving average (red, left…
From the CPI release, food at home (aka grocery) prices: Figure 1: CPI food at home component (bold black), ERS…
In Biblical contexts, War, Death, Pestilence and Famine. Well, with the Trump administration, check, check, check, and check! War? Trump…
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by Maria Grazia Attinasi, Lucas Boeckelmann, Rinalds Gerinovics, and Baptiste…